Analysis
Where the record comes from: by side, by timing, by CLV, against the close, and in overtime. The season control applies to the first ten tables.
Favourites vs underdogs
Spreads only.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite | 1238 | 645-566-27 | 53.3 | +42.2 | +2.6% | +1.67% |
| Underdog | 2408 | 1256-1123-29 | 52.8 | +47.9 | +1.5% | +1.47% |
| Pick'em | 26 | 15-11-0 | 57.7 | +4.5 | +14.2% | +2.20% |
| Favourite | 66 | 40-26-0 | 60.6 | +13.6 | +14.5% | +0.87% |
| Underdog | 70 | 42-27-1 | 60.9 | +16.9 | +17.0% | +2.12% |
| Favourite | 183 | 84-98-1 | 46.2 | โ28.4 | โ11.6% | +2.24% |
| Underdog | 439 | 242-196-1 | 55.3 | +31.8 | +5.2% | +1.81% |
| Favourite | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0 | โ0.1 | โ4.4% | +2.52% |
| Underdog | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6 | โ3.8 | โ47.8% | +3.55% |
| Favourite | 260 | 137-121-2 | 53.1 | +15.5 | +4.4% | +2.59% |
| Underdog | 546 | 293-246-7 | 54.4 | +29.8 | +4.0% | +1.62% |
| Favourite | 378 | 207-158-13 | 56.7 | +46.6 | +9.0% | +1.21% |
| Underdog | 920 | 456-453-11 | 50.2 | โ39.4 | โ3.0% | +1.09% |
| Pick'em | 17 | 7-10-0 | 41.2 | โ3.4 | โ16.6% | +1.70% |
| Favourite | 121 | 58-58-5 | 50.0 | โ11.5 | โ6.9% | +0.81% |
| Underdog | 187 | 91-90-6 | 50.3 | โ3.8 | โ1.5% | +1.85% |
| Pick'em | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0 | +4.0 | +90.9% | +4.01% |
| Favourite | 228 | 118-104-6 | 53.2 | +6.5 | +2.7% | +1.62% |
| Underdog | 239 | 130-106-3 | 55.1 | +16.5 | +6.5% | +1.55% |
| Pick'em | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3 | +3.9 | +57.8% | +2.50% |
Home vs away
Spreads only; neutral-site games count the listed home team.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1598 | 841-728-29 | 53.6 | +68.4 | +3.3% | +1.47% |
| Away | 2074 | 1075-972-27 | 52.5 | +26.3 | +0.9% | +1.60% |
| Home | 69 | 43-26-0 | 62.3 | +19.0 | +18.7% | +0.95% |
| Away | 67 | 39-27-1 | 59.1 | +11.5 | +12.5% | +2.14% |
| Home | 299 | 150-147-2 | 50.5 | โ10.3 | โ2.5% | +1.89% |
| Away | 323 | 176-147-0 | 54.5 | +13.7 | +3.1% | +1.96% |
| Home | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0 | โ0.1 | โ4.4% | +2.52% |
| Away | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6 | โ3.8 | โ47.8% | +3.55% |
| Home | 263 | 136-124-3 | 52.3 | +9.0 | +2.5% | +2.50% |
| Away | 543 | 294-243-6 | 54.7 | +36.2 | +4.9% | +1.65% |
| Home | 453 | 236-204-13 | 53.6 | +17.4 | +2.8% | +0.83% |
| Away | 862 | 434-417-11 | 51.0 | โ13.6 | โ1.1% | +1.28% |
| Home | 196 | 97-95-4 | 50.5 | โ4.3 | โ1.6% | +1.45% |
| Away | 115 | 55-53-7 | 50.9 | โ7.0 | โ4.6% | +1.51% |
| Home | 316 | 178-131-7 | 57.6 | +37.6 | +11.1% | +1.18% |
| Away | 157 | 75-80-2 | 48.4 | โ10.8 | โ6.4% | +2.42% |
Overs vs unders
Totals only.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 2362 | 1336-1009-17 | 57.0 | +307.8 | +9.1% | +2.48% |
| Under | 1723 | 938-770-15 | 54.9 | +127.6 | +5.7% | +2.45% |
| Over | 43 | 28-15-0 | 65.1 | +14.3 | +24.1% | โ0.08% |
| Under | 73 | 42-31-0 | 57.5 | +10.3 | +10.1% | +3.35% |
| Over | 254 | 141-113-0 | 55.5 | +13.6 | +4.0% | +2.76% |
| Under | 362 | 217-145-0 | 59.9 | +82.1 | +15.0% | +2.27% |
| Over | 48 | 26-22-0 | 54.2 | +3.1 | +4.7% | +3.78% |
| Under | 55 | 35-20-0 | 63.6 | +14.2 | +20.5% | +6.19% |
| Over | 798 | 460-334-4 | 57.9 | +134.2 | +11.5% | +3.65% |
| Under | 258 | 126-130-2 | 49.2 | โ20.1 | โ5.9% | +2.91% |
| Over | 966 | 537-417-12 | 56.3 | +114.5 | +8.0% | +1.56% |
| Under | 315 | 165-147-3 | 52.9 | +6.3 | +1.5% | +1.75% |
| Over | 138 | 77-60-1 | 56.2 | +13.5 | +7.3% | +1.55% |
| Under | 238 | 122-113-3 | 51.9 | +2.0 | +0.6% | +2.20% |
| Over | 115 | 67-48-0 | 58.3 | +14.6 | +11.7% | +3.28% |
| Under | 422 | 231-184-7 | 55.7 | +32.8 | +7.2% | +2.35% |
When the pick was posted
Hours between posting on Betstamp and tip-off.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1 hour | 136 | 80-55-1 | 59.3 | +26.9 | +15.5% | +0.54% |
| 1โ3 hours | 382 | 180-192-10 | 48.4 | โ41.0 | โ8.3% | +1.31% |
| 3โ6 hours | 787 | 434-345-8 | 55.7 | +84.5 | +8.4% | +1.62% |
| 6โ12 hours | 1708 | 943-748-17 | 55.8 | +153.7 | +6.9% | +1.67% |
| 12โ24 hours | 3305 | 1768-1502-35 | 54.1 | +192.0 | +4.2% | +2.31% |
| Over 24 hours | 1439 | 785-637-17 | 55.2 | +114.0 | +5.5% | +2.31% |
| 1โ3 hours | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3 | โ3.1 | โ40.6% | +0.65% |
| 3โ6 hours | 27 | 12-15-0 | 44.4 | โ6.2 | โ15.3% | +1.69% |
| 6โ12 hours | 203 | 130-72-1 | 64.4 | +64.2 | +22.8% | +1.77% |
| 12โ24 hours | 16 | 8-8-0 | 50.0 | +0.3 | +1.1% | +2.32% |
| Under 1 hour | 47 | 27-20-0 | 57.4 | +10.2 | +15.2% | +0.40% |
| 1โ3 hours | 149 | 81-68-0 | 54.4 | +1.8 | +0.9% | +1.91% |
| 3โ6 hours | 344 | 203-140-1 | 59.2 | +60.9 | +13.3% | +2.36% |
| 6โ12 hours | 535 | 278-256-1 | 52.1 | โ0.1 | โ0.0% | +2.24% |
| 12โ24 hours | 160 | 92-68-0 | 57.5 | +21.4 | +9.0% | +2.52% |
| Over 24 hours | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0 | +4.9 | +89.4% | +2.02% |
| 3โ6 hours | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0 | โ0.2 | โ5.0% | โ1.15% |
| 6โ12 hours | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4 | +2.9 | +37.5% | +1.48% |
| 12โ24 hours | 80 | 45-35-0 | 56.2 | +8.1 | +7.5% | +5.16% |
| Over 24 hours | 21 | 12-9-0 | 57.1 | +2.6 | +10.2% | +5.87% |
| Under 1 hour | 18 | 9-9-0 | 50.0 | โ0.2 | โ0.8% | +0.66% |
| 1โ3 hours | 49 | 16-32-1 | 33.3 | โ22.7 | โ39.4% | +1.47% |
| 3โ6 hours | 103 | 53-50-0 | 51.5 | โ0.6 | โ0.5% | +1.45% |
| 6โ12 hours | 311 | 181-126-4 | 59.0 | +50.7 | +13.6% | +1.94% |
| 12โ24 hours | 1086 | 591-485-10 | 54.9 | +99.0 | +6.3% | +3.02% |
| Over 24 hours | 295 | 166-129-0 | 56.3 | +33.2 | +7.4% | +3.56% |
| Under 1 hour | 44 | 26-17-1 | 60.5 | +7.4 | +14.0% | +0.66% |
| 1โ3 hours | 104 | 48-52-4 | 48.0 | โ6.4 | โ4.7% | +0.63% |
| 3โ6 hours | 140 | 69-68-3 | 50.4 | โ0.5 | โ0.3% | +0.65% |
| 6โ12 hours | 297 | 162-130-5 | 55.5 | +25.0 | +6.4% | +0.76% |
| 12โ24 hours | 1145 | 600-530-15 | 53.1 | +38.3 | +2.3% | +1.41% |
| Over 24 hours | 866 | 467-388-11 | 54.6 | +60.9 | +4.8% | +1.71% |
| Under 1 hour | 10 | 6-4-0 | 60.0 | +2.7 | +19.1% | +0.44% |
| 1โ3 hours | 34 | 14-16-4 | 46.7 | โ8.4 | โ19.6% | +0.44% |
| 3โ6 hours | 78 | 41-34-3 | 54.7 | +15.3 | +14.5% | +0.96% |
| 6โ12 hours | 192 | 99-90-3 | 52.4 | โ0.2 | โ0.1% | +1.27% |
| 12โ24 hours | 250 | 126-122-2 | 50.8 | โ6.7 | โ2.0% | +1.96% |
| Over 24 hours | 123 | 65-55-3 | 54.2 | +1.6 | +0.8% | +2.79% |
| Under 1 hour | 17 | 12-5-0 | 70.6 | +6.8 | +37.5% | +0.62% |
| 1โ3 hours | 40 | 19-20-1 | 48.7 | โ2.2 | โ5.1% | +1.32% |
| 3โ6 hours | 91 | 54-36-1 | 60.0 | +15.9 | +16.4% | +0.97% |
| 6โ12 hours | 163 | 88-72-3 | 55.0 | +11.3 | +6.6% | +1.05% |
| 12โ24 hours | 568 | 306-254-8 | 54.6 | +31.5 | +5.1% | +2.57% |
| Over 24 hours | 131 | 72-56-3 | 56.2 | +10.9 | +7.6% | +2.55% |
Main games vs extras
Extra = Pinnacle's last limit before tip was $1,000 or less on the spread, $500 or less on the total. From 2021-22; see Method.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main | 4668 | 2511-2106-51 | 54.4 | +312.0 | +4.8% | +2.13% |
| Extra | 1557 | 841-702-14 | 54.5 | +98.1 | +4.5% | +1.75% |
| Main | 88 | 52-35-1 | 59.8 | +16.2 | +14.4% | +0.78% |
| Extra | 58 | 36-22-0 | 62.1 | +11.8 | +15.6% | +1.45% |
| Main | 812 | 452-359-1 | 55.7 | +59.9 | +5.3% | +2.20% |
| Extra | 360 | 202-157-1 | 56.3 | +52.4 | +10.0% | +2.11% |
| Main | 73 | 41-32-0 | 56.2 | +7.0 | +7.7% | +4.67% |
| Extra | 36 | 22-14-0 | 61.1 | +8.5 | +17.3% | +5.39% |
| Main | 1381 | 762-610-9 | 55.5 | +138.8 | +7.1% | +2.99% |
| Extra | 358 | 187-167-4 | 52.8 | +14.5 | +3.0% | +2.42% |
| Main | 1878 | 986-864-28 | 53.3 | +88.4 | +3.3% | +1.55% |
| Extra | 554 | 293-255-6 | 53.5 | +6.7 | +0.9% | +0.89% |
| Main | 436 | 218-206-12 | 51.4 | +1.8 | +0.3% | +1.63% |
| Extra | 191 | 101-87-3 | 53.7 | +4.2 | +1.6% | +1.78% |
Spreads by Pinnacle closing limit
Pinnacle's last spread limit (to win) before tip. Its standard spread limit has moved between $3,000 and $5,000 by season.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500 or less | 459 | 227-224-8 | 50.3 | โ20.3 | โ3.3% | +1.10% |
| $750โ1,000 | 278 | 146-130-2 | 52.9 | +9.2 | +2.3% | +1.19% |
| $1,500โ3,000 | 949 | 494-439-16 | 52.9 | +12.1 | +1.0% | +1.76% |
| $4,000 | 537 | 284-245-8 | 53.7 | +35.1 | +4.3% | +1.53% |
| $5,000+ | 721 | 381-332-8 | 53.4 | +32.6 | +3.2% | +1.70% |
| $500 or less | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0 | โ0.2 | โ10.9% | โ1.51% |
| $750โ1,000 | 29 | 18-11-0 | 62.1 | +4.6 | +12.0% | +1.60% |
| $1,500โ3,000 | 41 | 24-16-1 | 60.0 | +8.5 | +16.1% | +1.16% |
| $4,000 | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0 | +1.7 | +37.6% | โ1.13% |
| $500 or less | 168 | 83-84-1 | 49.7 | โ2.3 | โ1.0% | +1.68% |
| $1,500โ3,000 | 353 | 188-164-1 | 53.4 | +3.3 | +0.7% | +1.95% |
| $5,000+ | 65 | 42-23-0 | 64.6 | +19.3 | +21.6% | +2.24% |
| $500 or less | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3 | โ1.7 | โ45.5% | +4.75% |
| $1,500โ3,000 | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0 | โ1.2 | โ22.0% | +4.84% |
| $500 or less | 95 | 51-42-2 | 54.8 | +7.2 | +5.8% | +1.46% |
| $750โ1,000 | 67 | 32-34-1 | 48.5 | โ1.2 | โ1.3% | +1.40% |
| $1,500โ3,000 | 137 | 72-64-1 | 52.9 | +3.8 | +2.1% | +2.71% |
| $5,000+ | 458 | 250-204-4 | 55.1 | +37.7 | +5.9% | +1.89% |
| $500 or less | 124 | 56-65-3 | 46.3 | โ20.6 | โ13.4% | โ0.09% |
| $750โ1,000 | 154 | 83-70-1 | 54.2 | +4.5 | +1.9% | +0.68% |
| $1,500โ3,000 | 251 | 128-119-4 | 51.8 | โ8.6 | โ2.8% | +1.32% |
| $4,000 | 511 | 273-230-8 | 54.3 | +44.0 | +5.6% | +1.52% |
| $5,000+ | 197 | 88-105-4 | 45.6 | โ26.4 | โ9.3% | +1.13% |
| $500 or less | 67 | 35-30-2 | 53.8 | โ2.7 | โ2.8% | +1.01% |
| $750โ1,000 | 28 | 13-15-0 | 46.4 | +1.3 | +3.1% | +3.34% |
| $1,500โ3,000 | 162 | 80-73-9 | 52.3 | +6.2 | +2.9% | +1.22% |
| $4,000 | 22 | 8-14-0 | 36.4 | โ10.6 | โ33.8% | +2.04% |
| $5,000+ | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0 | +2.0 | +91.7% | โ2.09% |
Totals by Pinnacle closing limit
Pinnacle's last total limit (to win) before tip. Its standard total limit has moved between $1,000 and $2,000 by season.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $250 or less | 645 | 364-279-2 | 56.6 | +75.7 | +8.3% | +2.32% |
| $300โ500 | 175 | 104-69-2 | 60.1 | +33.5 | +13.7% | +2.23% |
| $750โ1,000 | 1416 | 772-629-15 | 55.1 | +135.9 | +6.8% | +2.06% |
| $1,500 | 290 | 155-135-0 | 53.4 | โ1.0 | โ0.3% | +2.76% |
| $2,000+ | 755 | 425-326-4 | 56.6 | +97.2 | +8.7% | +3.27% |
| $250 or less | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0 | +1.0 | +90.9% | +0.45% |
| $300โ500 | 26 | 16-10-0 | 61.5 | +6.4 | +18.9% | +1.50% |
| $750โ1,000 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0 | +2.0 | +89.3% | โ1.28% |
| $1,500 | 38 | 22-16-0 | 57.9 | +5.2 | +10.3% | +0.48% |
| $2,000+ | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3 | โ1.1 | โ33.8% | +3.30% |
| $250 or less | 175 | 106-69-0 | 60.6 | +42.2 | +16.0% | +2.64% |
| $300โ500 | 17 | 13-4-0 | 76.5 | +12.5 | +50.5% | +0.65% |
| $750โ1,000 | 29 | 18-11-0 | 62.1 | +10.7 | +24.5% | +1.21% |
| $1,500 | 221 | 117-104-0 | 52.9 | โ5.1 | โ1.8% | +3.01% |
| $2,000+ | 144 | 87-57-0 | 60.4 | +31.6 | +13.9% | +1.90% |
| $250 or less | 33 | 21-12-0 | 63.6 | +10.3 | +22.6% | +5.44% |
| $750โ1,000 | 67 | 38-29-0 | 56.7 | +6.4 | +7.6% | +4.60% |
| $2,000+ | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0 | +1.8 | +90.9% | +7.11% |
| $250 or less | 105 | 54-51-0 | 51.4 | +3.2 | +2.2% | +3.47% |
| $300โ500 | 91 | 50-40-1 | 55.6 | +5.2 | +4.0% | +2.90% |
| $750โ1,000 | 205 | 117-87-1 | 57.4 | +33.3 | +11.9% | +3.38% |
| $1,500 | 28 | 14-14-0 | 50.0 | โ1.5 | โ4.5% | +4.04% |
| $2,000+ | 553 | 309-241-3 | 56.2 | +65.4 | +8.1% | +3.74% |
| $250 or less | 257 | 141-114-2 | 55.3 | +14.5 | +4.0% | +1.37% |
| $300โ500 | 19 | 13-6-0 | 68.4 | +8.3 | +28.6% | +1.92% |
| $750โ1,000 | 875 | 474-390-11 | 54.9 | +76.7 | +6.0% | +1.67% |
| $1,500 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7 | +0.4 | +8.2% | +2.78% |
| $2,000+ | 41 | 21-19-1 | 52.5 | +2.2 | +3.8% | +2.64% |
| $250 or less | 74 | 41-33-0 | 55.4 | +4.4 | +4.5% | +1.91% |
| $300โ500 | 22 | 12-9-1 | 57.1 | +1.2 | +4.3% | +1.73% |
| $750โ1,000 | 238 | 123-112-3 | 52.3 | +6.8 | +2.1% | +1.92% |
| $2,000+ | 13 | 6-7-0 | 46.2 | โ2.7 | โ15.7% | +0.92% |
By month
Month of the game, Pacific time.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November | 1514 | 847-656-11 | 56.4 | +165.4 | +8.0% | +1.96% |
| December | 1708 | 898-794-16 | 53.1 | +46.6 | +2.1% | +2.37% |
| January | 2470 | 1328-1109-33 | 54.5 | +146.8 | +4.3% | +1.90% |
| February | 1661 | 891-748-22 | 54.4 | +114.8 | +5.0% | +1.90% |
| March | 404 | 226-172-6 | 56.8 | +56.5 | +10.9% | +2.39% |
| November | 252 | 152-99-1 | 60.6 | +55.1 | +15.6% | +1.77% |
| November | 508 | 295-212-1 | 58.2 | +91.2 | +11.4% | +1.99% |
| December | 234 | 119-115-0 | 50.9 | โ8.8 | โ2.5% | +2.35% |
| January | 394 | 216-177-1 | 55.0 | +15.6 | +3.3% | +2.62% |
| February | 102 | 54-48-0 | 52.9 | +1.1 | +1.0% | +1.48% |
| November | 112 | 64-48-0 | 57.1 | +13.3 | +9.2% | +4.90% |
| November | 214 | 114-97-3 | 54.0 | +3.1 | +1.3% | +2.37% |
| December | 401 | 220-179-2 | 55.1 | +45.4 | +7.9% | +3.10% |
| January | 537 | 297-238-2 | 55.5 | +55.4 | +7.0% | +2.96% |
| February | 518 | 275-235-8 | 53.9 | +27.5 | +3.7% | +2.62% |
| March | 192 | 110-82-0 | 57.3 | +28.1 | +11.3% | +2.83% |
| November | 271 | 147-120-4 | 55.1 | +14.4 | +4.3% | +0.90% |
| December | 576 | 301-268-7 | 52.9 | +10.0 | +1.4% | +1.84% |
| January | 952 | 487-447-18 | 52.1 | +8.0 | +0.5% | +1.17% |
| February | 691 | 374-309-8 | 54.8 | +63.5 | +6.0% | +1.45% |
| March | 106 | 63-41-2 | 60.6 | +28.7 | +18.4% | +1.57% |
| November | 120 | 54-65-1 | 45.4 | โ16.8 | โ11.2% | +0.56% |
| December | 271 | 140-126-5 | 52.6 | โ4.7 | โ1.2% | +2.73% |
| January | 269 | 138-122-9 | 53.1 | +12.6 | +3.5% | +1.13% |
| February | 27 | 19-8-0 | 70.4 | +13.1 | +35.3% | +2.32% |
| November | 37 | 21-15-1 | 58.3 | +5.1 | +12.9% | +3.87% |
| December | 226 | 118-106-2 | 52.7 | +4.8 | +2.0% | +1.66% |
| January | 318 | 190-125-3 | 60.3 | +55.1 | +16.0% | +2.39% |
| February | 323 | 169-148-6 | 53.3 | +9.6 | +2.8% | +1.78% |
| March | 106 | 53-49-4 | 52.0 | โ0.2 | โ0.2% | +2.56% |
Overnight vs day of game
Overnight = posted on an earlier calendar day than the game (Pacific time).
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | 4754 | 2559-2142-53 | 54.4 | +308.0 | +4.6% | +2.31% |
| Day of game | 3003 | 1631-1337-35 | 55.0 | +222.1 | +5.7% | +1.56% |
| Day of game | 252 | 152-99-1 | 60.6 | +55.1 | +15.6% | +1.77% |
| Overnight | 151 | 91-60-0 | 60.3 | +31.6 | +13.8% | +2.57% |
| Day of game | 1087 | 593-492-2 | 54.7 | +67.6 | +4.5% | +2.14% |
| Overnight | 101 | 57-44-0 | 56.4 | +10.6 | +8.0% | +5.30% |
| Day of game | 11 | 7-4-0 | 63.6 | +2.6 | +21.9% | +0.51% |
| Overnight | 1392 | 762-620-10 | 55.1 | +131.2 | +6.4% | +3.16% |
| Day of game | 470 | 254-211-5 | 54.6 | +28.3 | +5.1% | +1.60% |
| Overnight | 2024 | 1075-922-27 | 53.8 | +103.0 | +3.5% | +1.52% |
| Day of game | 572 | 297-263-12 | 53.0 | +21.6 | +2.9% | +0.75% |
| Overnight | 378 | 193-180-5 | 51.7 | โ7.4 | โ1.4% | +2.32% |
| Day of game | 309 | 158-141-10 | 52.8 | +11.6 | +2.9% | +0.99% |
| Overnight | 708 | 381-316-11 | 54.7 | +39.0 | +5.1% | +2.51% |
| Day of game | 302 | 170-127-5 | 57.2 | +35.3 | +11.0% | +1.13% |
Results by CLV
How picks did by how much they beat (or missed) the closing price. Positive CLV should win more over time.
| Picks | W-L-P | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below โ3% | 697 | 331-358-8 | 48.0 | โ78.7 | โ8.5% | โ5.82% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 864 | 430-423-11 | 50.4 | โ36.7 | โ3.2% | โ1.87% |
| โ1% to +1% | 1722 | 932-770-20 | 54.8 | +130.0 | +5.6% | +0.02% |
| +1% to +3% | 1724 | 919-785-20 | 53.9 | +86.7 | +3.7% | +1.93% |
| +3% to +6% | 1560 | 879-663-18 | 57.0 | +185.5 | +8.6% | +4.33% |
| Above +6% | 1190 | 699-480-11 | 59.3 | +243.3 | +14.4% | +9.00% |
| Below โ3% | 27 | 16-11-0 | 59.3 | +5.6 | +15.4% | โ6.24% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 26 | 16-10-0 | 61.5 | +8.6 | +23.4% | โ1.93% |
| โ1% to +1% | 56 | 37-19-0 | 66.1 | +20.2 | +28.3% | โ0.07% |
| +1% to +3% | 68 | 35-33-0 | 51.5 | โ0.4 | โ0.4% | +2.03% |
| +3% to +6% | 45 | 32-12-1 | 72.7 | +22.1 | +32.6% | +4.49% |
| Above +6% | 30 | 16-14-0 | 53.3 | โ1.0 | โ2.3% | +9.51% |
| Below โ3% | 96 | 42-54-0 | 43.8 | โ26.2 | โ20.0% | โ5.73% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 125 | 58-67-0 | 46.4 | โ18.2 | โ10.6% | โ1.99% |
| โ1% to +1% | 290 | 169-121-0 | 58.3 | +49.8 | +12.2% | +0.03% |
| +1% to +3% | 296 | 166-128-2 | 56.5 | +35.6 | +8.5% | +1.96% |
| +3% to +6% | 225 | 124-101-0 | 55.1 | +11.5 | +3.7% | +4.47% |
| Above +6% | 206 | 125-81-0 | 60.7 | +46.7 | +15.7% | +9.08% |
| Below โ3% | 14 | 10-4-0 | 71.4 | +7.7 | +43.5% | โ6.77% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 9 | 2-7-0 | 22.2 | โ6.2 | โ57.0% | โ2.13% |
| โ1% to +1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0 | โ3.4 | โ61.9% | โ0.16% |
| +1% to +3% | 12 | 5-7-0 | 41.7 | โ3.7 | โ25.7% | +1.76% |
| +3% to +6% | 26 | 19-7-0 | 73.1 | +13.1 | +40.2% | +4.73% |
| Above +6% | 47 | 27-20-0 | 57.4 | +5.8 | +9.0% | +10.55% |
| Below โ3% | 125 | 55-68-2 | 44.7 | โ23.0 | โ13.1% | โ5.65% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 168 | 83-84-1 | 49.7 | โ8.4 | โ3.6% | โ1.92% |
| โ1% to +1% | 376 | 212-163-1 | 56.5 | +54.4 | +10.7% | โ0.00% |
| +1% to +3% | 380 | 213-165-2 | 56.3 | +46.3 | +9.1% | +2.06% |
| +3% to +6% | 426 | 237-184-5 | 56.3 | +39.0 | +6.6% | +4.40% |
| Above +6% | 387 | 216-167-4 | 56.4 | +51.2 | +8.8% | +8.86% |
| Below โ3% | 267 | 123-141-3 | 46.6 | โ39.8 | โ10.8% | โ5.65% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 344 | 174-162-8 | 51.8 | โ2.8 | โ0.6% | โ1.82% |
| โ1% to +1% | 627 | 317-301-9 | 51.3 | โ14.7 | โ1.7% | +0.03% |
| +1% to +3% | 589 | 312-267-10 | 53.9 | +24.9 | +2.9% | +1.85% |
| +3% to +6% | 505 | 283-216-6 | 56.7 | +65.4 | +8.7% | +4.20% |
| Above +6% | 264 | 163-98-3 | 62.5 | +91.6 | +23.3% | +8.40% |
| Below โ3% | 69 | 33-35-1 | 48.5 | โ6.6 | โ7.0% | โ6.26% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 74 | 38-34-2 | 52.8 | โ5.5 | โ5.8% | โ1.86% |
| โ1% to +1% | 179 | 91-82-6 | 52.6 | +5.2 | +2.3% | +0.01% |
| +1% to +3% | 158 | 71-85-2 | 45.5 | โ25.5 | โ11.8% | +1.83% |
| +3% to +6% | 113 | 67-45-1 | 59.8 | +23.5 | +15.1% | +4.36% |
| Above +6% | 94 | 51-40-3 | 56.0 | +13.1 | +9.4% | +9.39% |
| Below โ3% | 99 | 52-45-2 | 53.6 | +3.6 | +3.4% | โ6.08% |
| โ3% to โ1% | 118 | 59-59-0 | 50.0 | โ4.1 | โ3.2% | โ1.83% |
| โ1% to +1% | 190 | 105-81-4 | 56.5 | +18.5 | +9.1% | +0.04% |
| +1% to +3% | 221 | 117-100-4 | 53.9 | +9.5 | +4.0% | +1.90% |
| +3% to +6% | 220 | 117-98-5 | 54.4 | +10.9 | +4.6% | +4.24% |
| Above +6% | 162 | 101-60-1 | 62.7 | +35.9 | +20.4% | +9.67% |
Taken price vs closing price
Every graded pick regraded at Betstamp's closing number and price for it, same stake. "Better" counts picks that did better at the taken number than they would have at the close (a half-point that turned a loss into a push or win, or a better price).
| Season | Picks | ROI taken | ROI at close | Difference | Better | Worse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 252 | +15.6% | +9.9% | +5.7% | 59 | 58 |
| 2025-26 | 1220 | +5.4% | +1.6% | +3.8% | 271 | 217 |
| 2024-25 | 112 | +9.2% | +4.5% | +4.6% | 24 | 13 |
| 2023-24 | 1757 | +5.7% | โ1.2% | +6.9% | 392 | 273 |
| 2022-23 | 2586 | +3.5% | +0.6% | +2.9% | 503 | 371 |
| 2021-22 | 686 | +0.3% | โ4.7% | +5.1% | 117 | 71 |
| 2020-21 | 1010 | +6.8% | +3.4% | +3.4% | 223 | 298 |
Overtime flips
Totals whose result changed in overtime: an over that won only because of overtime ("helped"), or an under that lost because of it ("hurt"). Net is units won minus what the same picks would have won graded on the regulation total; % is that net over all units risked on totals that season.
| Season | Totals in OT | Helped | Hurt | Net units | Net % of risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +2.82 | +1.75% |
| 2025-26 | 33 | 6 | 11 | โ12.73 | โ1.44% |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 3 | โ8.46 | โ6.29% |
| 2023-24 | 65 | 24 | 7 | +43.95 | +2.92% |
| 2022-23 | 84 | 37 | 9 | +80.88 | +4.36% |
| 2021-22 | 25 | 1 | 12 | โ26.85 | โ5.30% |
| 2020-21 | 31 | 5 | 12 | โ14.53 | โ2.50% |
All 128 flips
| Date | Game | Pick | Regulation | Final | OTs | Units | At regulation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | EVAN @ USI | Over 143.5 | 138 | 154 | 1 | +1.35 | โ1.47 |
| 2026-02-14 | COL @ BYU | Under 162.5 | 156 | 176 | 1 | โ1.15 | +1.00 |
| 2026-02-14 | SCUS @ LONG | Over 147.5 | 138 | 157 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2026-01-17 | SYR @ BC | Over 138 | 128 | 154 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2026-01-10 | WCU @ CIT | Under 147.5 | 142 | 156 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2026-01-08 | UCA @ BELL | Under 155.5 | 142 | 162 | 1 | โ1.15 | +1.00 |
| 2026-01-07 | L-MD @ ARMY | Under 149 | 146 | 160 | 1 | โ1.11 | +1.00 |
| 2025-12-20 | ELON @ VT | Under 157.5 | 144 | 163 | 1 | โ1.65 | +1.50 |
| 2025-12-13 | SIU @ RICH | Under 154.5 | 148 | 177 | 1 | โ1.65 | +1.50 |
| 2025-12-13 | KU @ NCST | Under 147.5 | 132 | 153 | 1 | โ1.65 | +1.50 |
| 2025-12-13 | SPC @ GTWN | Under 141.5 | 120 | 144 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2025-12-06 | WICH @ UNI | Over 129.5 | 118 | 143 | 1 | +1.10 | โ1.27 |
| 2025-12-03 | CCAR @ SCUS | Over 144.5 | 130 | 163 | 1 | +1.60 | โ1.76 |
| 2025-11-29 | MAN @ ARMY | Under 152.5 | 132 | 159 | 1 | โ2.30 | +2.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | NDSU @ ARST | Over 160.5 | 140 | 165 | 1 | +1.70 | โ1.84 |
| 2025-11-27 | GTWN @ DAY | Under 146.5 | 138 | 163 | 1 | โ1.61 | +1.40 |
| 2025-11-18 | UMES @ LONG | Over 138.5 | 138 | 165 | 2 | +1.80 | โ1.89 |
| 2025-11-17 | LMU @ UCSB | Under 145.5 | 138 | 152 | 1 | โ1.43 | +1.10 |
| 2024-11-17 | WEB @ HAW | Under 137.5 | 114 | 141 | 1 | โ1.43 | +1.30 |
| 2024-11-16 | NWST @ RICE | Under 141.5 | 132 | 152 | 1 | โ1.87 | +1.70 |
| 2024-11-13 | NDSU @ SCU | Under 154 | 140 | 168 | 1 | โ1.16 | +1.00 |
| 2024-03-15 | NCST @ UVA | Over 121 | 116 | 138 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2024-03-09 | ARK @ BAMA | Under 175 | 148 | 180 | 1 | โ1.32 | +1.20 |
| 2024-03-06 | NWST @ TAMC | Over 140.5 | 114 | 163 | 3 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2024-03-02 | WMU @ BALL | Over 144.5 | 130 | 154 | 1 | +1.90 | โ2.09 |
| 2024-02-29 | SFA @ CBU | Under 63.5 | 102 | 122 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2024-02-29 | SCU @ POR | Over 153.5 | 130 | 155 | 1 | +1.30 | โ1.43 |
| 2024-02-22 | WAS @ ASU | Over 152.5 | 150 | 166 | 1 | +1.80 | โ2.14 |
| 2024-02-21 | FLA @ BAMA | Under 175.5 | 170 | 191 | 1 | โ2.20 | +2.00 |
| 2024-02-17 | SDS @ NEOM | Over 151 | 146 | 162 | 1 | +1.20 | โ1.28 |
| 2024-02-15 | UNCO @ PRST | Over 152.5 | 136 | 154 | 1 | +1.30 | โ1.43 |
| 2024-02-11 | FAU @ WICH | Over 149 | 148 | 177 | 1 | +1.80 | โ1.96 |
| 2024-02-06 | OHIO @ BALL | Over 148 | 144 | 163 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2024-02-03 | CMU @ BGSU | Over 140.5 | 124 | 153 | 2 | +1.30 | โ1.43 |
| 2024-02-01 | TARL @ ACU | Over 140 | 134 | 149 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.16 |
| 2024-01-31 | FLA @ UK | Under 82 | 168 | 185 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2024-01-31 | FUR @ CIT | Over 145.5 | 144 | 161 | 1 | +1.40 | โ1.62 |
| 2024-01-30 | NIU @ CMU | Over 143.5 | 126 | 161 | 2 | +1.20 | โ1.38 |
| 2024-01-28 | MAN @ NIAG | Under 69.5 | 146 | 162 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.04 |
| 2024-01-27 | GAST @ CCAR | Over 152 | 146 | 168 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.06 |
| 2024-01-27 | NIC @ TAMC | Over 138.5 | 130 | 171 | 2 | +1.50 | โ1.65 |
| 2024-01-22 | NIC @ IW | Over 146.5 | 124 | 152 | 1 | +1.30 | โ1.43 |
| 2024-01-17 | NEB @ RUTG | Over 143 | 138 | 169 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2024-01-16 | AFA @ CSU | Under 136 | 128 | 147 | 1 | โ1.34 | +1.30 |
| 2023-12-18 | PRST @ FRES | Over 138.5 | 130 | 147 | 1 | +1.50 | โ1.65 |
| 2023-12-16 | UNLV @ SMC | Under 132.5 | 100 | 136 | 2 | โ1.85 | +1.70 |
| 2023-12-05 | NAVY @ GW | Over 143.5 | 130 | 156 | 1 | +1.50 | โ1.65 |
| 2023-12-05 | UNCA @ KENN | Under 79 | 130 | 155 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2023-12-02 | MICH @ ORE | Under 152.5 | 146 | 169 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2023-11-24 | EVAN @ CHAT | Over 141.5 | 140 | 162 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2023-11-19 | LSU @ WF | Under 147.5 | 144 | 166 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2023-11-11 | UTU @ JVST | Under 145 | 142 | 160 | 1 | โ1.13 | +1.00 |
| 2023-03-09 | MSST @ FLA | Over 128 | 114 | 137 | 1 | +1.70 | โ1.87 |
| 2023-03-08 | LT @ FIU | Over 142 | 138 | 157 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.09 |
| 2023-02-25 | CSF @ CSB | Over 123.5 | 120 | 136 | 1 | +1.60 | โ1.68 |
| 2023-02-22 | BAMA @ SC | Over 148 | 136 | 154 | 1 | +1.20 | โ1.32 |
| 2023-02-18 | SELA @ TAMC | Over 144.5 | 140 | 154 | 1 | +1.40 | โ1.54 |
| 2023-02-18 | MSST @ MISS | Over 125 | 112 | 130 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.15 |
| 2023-02-16 | UNCW @ DREX | Over 126 | 98 | 143 | 2 | +1.60 | โ1.76 |
| 2023-02-11 | OAK @ MIL | Over 152.5 | 150 | 157 | 1 | +1.50 | โ1.65 |
| 2023-02-11 | DUKE @ UVA | Over 125.5 | 116 | 131 | 1 | +1.70 | โ1.87 |
| 2023-02-11 | WIS @ NEB | Over 126 | 122 | 136 | 1 | +1.30 | โ1.43 |
| 2023-02-11 | TOWS @ DREX | Over 128.5 | 112 | 139 | 1 | +1.60 | โ1.76 |
| 2023-02-11 | CAMP @ WEBB | Over 125.5 | 118 | 150 | 2 | +1.10 | โ1.21 |
| 2023-02-09 | SMC @ LMU | Over 127.5 | 126 | 152 | 1 | +1.50 | โ1.64 |
| 2023-02-09 | SHU @ SFU | Over 149.5 | 140 | 154 | 1 | +1.20 | โ1.32 |
| 2023-02-06 | GB @ MIL | Over 142 | 142 | 159 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.00 |
| 2023-02-04 | CSB @ UCSD | Over 126 | 122 | 144 | 1 | +1.30 | โ1.43 |
| 2023-02-04 | DRKE @ VALP | Over 134.5 | 132 | 167 | 2 | +1.40 | โ1.54 |
| 2023-02-02 | WRST @ YSU | Under 159 | 124 | 180 | 3 | โ1.98 | +1.80 |
| 2023-02-01 | PROV @ XAV | Under 154.5 | 152 | 168 | 1 | โ1.21 | +1.10 |
| 2023-01-28 | PV @ TXSO | Over 133.5 | 114 | 163 | 2 | +1.80 | โ1.98 |
| 2023-01-28 | SDS @ WIU | Over 141.5 | 138 | 154 | 1 | +1.40 | โ1.54 |
| 2023-01-21 | TNTC @ SEMO | Over 148 | 132 | 161 | 2 | +1.60 | โ1.73 |
| 2023-01-21 | USA @ CCAR | Over 142 | 136 | 166 | 1 | +1.30 | โ1.43 |
| 2023-01-20 | BOISE @ UNM | Over 144 | 144 | 160 | 1 | +1.40 | +0.00 |
| 2023-01-20 | IONA @ MAN | Under 140 | 136 | 160 | 1 | โ1.21 | +1.10 |
| 2023-01-18 | MIZST @ DRKE | Over 127 | 112 | 127 | 1 | +0.00 | โ1.54 |
| 2023-01-14 | ALCN @ TXSO | Over 142 | 136 | 153 | 1 | +1.70 | โ1.87 |
| 2023-01-14 | BUF @ CMU | Over 145.5 | 140 | 165 | 1 | +2.00 | โ2.20 |
| 2023-01-07 | HAW @ CSF | Over 121 | 120 | 151 | 1 | +1.40 | โ1.54 |
| 2023-01-07 | TNTC @ UTM | Over 143 | 142 | 164 | 1 | +1.20 | โ1.32 |
| 2023-01-05 | GC @ SHSU | Over 126.5 | 114 | 140 | 1 | +1.80 | โ1.98 |
| 2023-01-05 | AMER @ HC | Over 127 | 118 | 141 | 1 | +1.90 | โ2.09 |
| 2023-01-02 | SOU @ TXSO | Over 140 | 126 | 153 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2023-01-02 | FGCU @ UCA | Under 153.5 | 150 | 163 | 1 | โ1.06 | +1.00 |
| 2022-12-31 | UTRGV @ SUU | Under 168 | 158 | 182 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2022-12-21 | JMU @ COPP | Under 163 | 160 | 207 | 2 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2022-12-17 | PEPP @ GC | Under 139 | 136 | 156 | 1 | โ2.20 | +2.00 |
| 2022-12-11 | WIS @ IOWA | Over 137 | 120 | 153 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2022-12-11 | INST @ USI | Under 154 | 154 | 173 | 1 | โ1.09 | +0.00 |
| 2022-12-03 | OAK @ IPFW | Over 149.5 | 142 | 152 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2022-11-29 | CHAR @ DAV | Over 128 | 118 | 134 | 1 | +2.00 | โ2.20 |
| 2022-11-26 | JVST @ UNCO | Under 146.5 | 138 | 168 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2022-11-25 | DAY @ BYU | Over 130 | 128 | 154 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2022-11-23 | CBU @ SIU | Over 120 | 114 | 125 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.06 |
| 2022-11-23 | CSB @ UTEP | Over 124 | 110 | 135 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2022-11-23 | IDST @ LINW | Over 137 | 136 | 153 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.08 |
| 2022-01-29 | UTAH @ WAS | Under 139.5 | 118 | 150 | 2 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2022-01-22 | DRKE @ UNI | Under 141.5 | 140 | 156 | 1 | โ2.10 | +2.00 |
| 2022-01-11 | VALP @ L-IL | Under 136 | 110 | 155 | 2 | โ1.05 | +1.00 |
| 2022-01-11 | INST @ UNI | Under 149.5 | 144 | 154 | 1 | โ1.03 | +1.00 |
| 2022-01-08 | USU @ UNM | Under 153 | 152 | 177 | 1 | โ1.03 | +1.00 |
| 2022-01-06 | MCNS @ UNO | Over 150 | 142 | 174 | 2 | +2.00 | โ2.20 |
| 2021-12-19 | FAIR @ UMASS | Under 146.5 | 130 | 150 | 1 | โ2.20 | +2.00 |
| 2021-12-14 | UCSB @ PAC | Under 135 | 124 | 151 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2021-12-12 | PUR @ NCST | Under 142.5 | 132 | 154 | 1 | โ1.05 | +1.00 |
| 2021-12-07 | BUT @ OKLA | Under 125.5 | 108 | 128 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2021-12-06 | NMSU @ UNM | Under 153.5 | 136 | 154 | 1 | โ2.10 | +2.00 |
| 2021-12-03 | COFC @ FUR | Under 160 | 156 | 179 | 1 | โ1.09 | +1.00 |
| 2021-12-02 | MTST @ UNCO | Under 147 | 128 | 152 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2021-03-10 | BUT @ XAV | Over 133 | 118 | 139 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2021-03-02 | YSU @ OAK | Over 151.5 | 146 | 170 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.09 |
| 2021-02-27 | SFA @ LAM | Under 146.5 | 142 | 171 | 2 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2021-02-13 | ARK @ MIZZ | Under 150 | 146 | 167 | 1 | โ1.02 | +1.00 |
| 2021-02-13 | LBSU @ UCD | Over 151 | 134 | 154 | 1 | +0.97 | โ1.05 |
| 2021-02-06 | UALR @ TXST | Under 126 | 124 | 144 | 1 | โ1.05 | +1.00 |
| 2021-01-13 | URI @ UMASS | Under 152.5 | 144 | 158 | 1 | โ1.00 | +1.00 |
| 2021-01-08 | OAK @ GB | Over 149 | 142 | 165 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.05 |
| 2021-01-07 | UCLA @ ASU | Under 149.5 | 130 | 156 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2021-01-03 | JOES @ URI | Under 153 | 140 | 162 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2021-01-01 | UTEP @ USM | Over 128.5 | 120 | 140 | 1 | +1.00 | โ1.10 |
| 2020-12-30 | GMU @ UMASS | Under 150 | 124 | 185 | 2 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2020-12-28 | NJIT @ UVM | Under 141 | 128 | 161 | 2 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2020-12-14 | W&M @ GW | Under 150.5 | 150 | 169 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2020-12-04 | KENT @ UVA | Under 128.5 | 124 | 135 | 1 | โ1.07 | +1.00 |
| 2020-12-04 | FAIR @ STON | Under 129.5 | 124 | 141 | 1 | โ1.10 | +1.00 |
| 2020-12-02 | MTST @ PAC | Under 137 | 128 | 144 | 1 | โ1.05 | +1.00 |